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	<title>Comments on: Analyzing Kindle Fire Sales Estimates</title>
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	<link>http://paidcontent.org/2011/10/05/419-amazon-doesnt-release-kindle-fire-preorders-but-others-fill-in/</link>
	<description>The economics of digital content</description>
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		<title>By: yahoo-YWCESOC7TECJUCKFICA6JLEAVQ</title>
		<link>http://paidcontent.org/2011/10/05/419-amazon-doesnt-release-kindle-fire-preorders-but-others-fill-in/#comment-85551</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[yahoo-YWCESOC7TECJUCKFICA6JLEAVQ]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Oct 2011 19:19:21 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[You state in referring to this quote “over 2,000 units per hour, or over 50,000 per day.” the following&quot; (If accurate, these figures would suggest that eDataSource’s estimate is too high.)&quot;

It suggests no such thing.  It is perfectly reasonable to think that the very first day of orders would show a spike...hence the 95,000 figure of eDataSource.   Just because the Cult of Android screenshot shows 254, 074 for the first five days doesn&#039;t in any way mean they were evenly distributed across those days.  

It could very well be the first date had an expected spike of say approximately 95,000 and then we have the following four days significantly lower...around 37,500 avg per day.   If that 37,500 avg of the following days were to continue for the next 6 weeks until the date the Kindle Fire comes out it would be over 1.7 million devices pre-ordered before the 15th of November.   

It most likely won&#039;t be that high since the first five days after the announcement understandably had the Kindle Fire very heavily in the media and influenced pre-order numbers but even half that amount would be a huge success.  We analyze the figures in more detail at http://kindlefireforums.com]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You state in referring to this quote “over 2,000 units per hour, or over 50,000 per day.” the following&#8221; (If accurate, these figures would suggest that eDataSource’s estimate is too high.)&#8221;</p>
<p>It suggests no such thing.  It is perfectly reasonable to think that the very first day of orders would show a spike&#8230;hence the 95,000 figure of eDataSource.   Just because the Cult of Android screenshot shows 254, 074 for the first five days doesn&#8217;t in any way mean they were evenly distributed across those days.  </p>
<p>It could very well be the first date had an expected spike of say approximately 95,000 and then we have the following four days significantly lower&#8230;around 37,500 avg per day.   If that 37,500 avg of the following days were to continue for the next 6 weeks until the date the Kindle Fire comes out it would be over 1.7 million devices pre-ordered before the 15th of November.   </p>
<p>It most likely won&#8217;t be that high since the first five days after the announcement understandably had the Kindle Fire very heavily in the media and influenced pre-order numbers but even half that amount would be a huge success.  We analyze the figures in more detail at <a href="http://kindlefireforums.com" rel="nofollow">http://kindlefireforums.com</a></p>
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