Comments on: Piracy may be commonplace, but music’s outlook is improving

By: EthicalFan

EthicalFan — Thu, 01 Nov 2012 04:44:25 +0000

It is not simplistic to correlate 24% of all worldwide internet traffic being used to “share” movies and music with a 50% decline in music revenues. Its amazing that with that much stolen product circulating that there are any revenues left.

By: EthicalFan

EthicalFan — Thu, 01 Nov 2012 04:41:06 +0000

It was 132 billion mp3s in 2011 in the US. http://ethicalfan.com/2012/04/piracy-volume-in-2011/

By: EthicalFan

EthicalFan — Thu, 01 Nov 2012 04:35:39 +0000

Laughing Out Loud. Just go to KAT or TPB and look at the list of top 1000 most leeched or seeded torrents and tell me that 99% of p2p is not illegal.

By: SV

SV — Tue, 18 Sep 2012 14:00:34 +0000

What’s the real number of illegal music downloads worldwide? the Musicmetric research says 3 billion in the first half of 2012, but Sean Parker (Spotify investor, former Facebook president) says anywhere from 4 to 10 TRILLION per year globally! So what’s the real number?

By: Ron Miller

Ron Miller — Tue, 18 Sep 2012 11:26:06 +0000

There are lots of factors beyond piracy contributing to these lower numbers. Illegal downloads is just one factor. The fact is the way we consumer media has changed dramatically since 1999 and there are plenty of legal ways to consume media that don’t involve piracy. I personally buy far fewer DVDs than I did in the late 90s because I subscribe to Hulu+ and Netflix instead. I get a lot of my music through legal channels such as Spotify. Yes, the profits are lower than they were in the recording industry’s hey day, but that has to do with the impact of disruption and the industry’s failure to react to that change as much as it does to illegal downloads. It’s simplistic to suggest there is one to one correlation to these numbers you cite.

By: Ron Miller

Ron Miller — Tue, 18 Sep 2012 11:22:37 +0000

Not all P2P traffic involves illegal downloads. P2P traffic may be increasing, but there are plenty of legitimate channels contributing to that.

By: EthicalFan

EthicalFan — Tue, 18 Sep 2012 06:24:33 +0000

Neither music nor motion pictures have started to rebound and continue to decline in revenues. US Home video sales (DVD, BluRay, PayTV, VOD, Streaming) are down 25% to $18.5B in 2011 from $25B in 2006. The first BitTorrent search engines debuted in 2004. Recorded music revenues are down worldwide from $27B in 1999 (Napster) to $15B in 2011. All citations at ethicalfan dot com.

By: EthicalFan

EthicalFan — Tue, 18 Sep 2012 06:18:19 +0000

There is no data to support that p2p is decreasing and plenty to show that its growth has never slowed. Sandvine shows that p2p by data volume is 15% of all US internet traffic and 30% in Europe and Asia. http://bit.ly/PuvqZB Cisco says p2p will double by data volume in the US between 2012 and 2016. http://bit.ly/z7ShR

By: Shona Ghosh

Shona Ghosh — Mon, 17 Sep 2012 14:22:27 +0000

Agree that piracy, as estimated by various analyst houses/industry bodies, is likely on the wane. The individual regional downloads figures from Musicmetric seem to be much lower than the numbers put about the BPI/RIAA/etc, though a direct comparison is still difficult.