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	<title>paidContent &#187; evercore partners</title>
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	<description>The economics of digital content</description>
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		<title>New York Times Co will make $91 million from digital subs &#8212; analyst</title>
		<link>http://paidcontent.org/2012/12/21/new-york-times-co-will-make-91-million-from-digital-subs-analyst/</link>
		<comments>http://paidcontent.org/2012/12/21/new-york-times-co-will-make-91-million-from-digital-subs-analyst/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Dec 2012 16:39:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jeff John Roberts]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[evercore partners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[new york times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[online subscribers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[paywall]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://paidcontent.org/?p=222448</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A news report gave the New York Times some powerful validation for its online paywall model. But a closer look at the numbers show that digital subscriber dollars can only be one part of the Times' future.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=paidcontent.org&#038;blog=33319749&#038;post=222448&#038;subd=gigaompaidcontent&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s been a good morning for The New York Times. Media types are buzzing about its luscious Colorado <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/projects/2012/snow-fall/#/?part=tunnel-creek">avalanche story</a> and a gushing Bloomberg headline says its &#8220;paywall is working better than anyone guessed.&#8221;</p>
<p>The <a href="http://go.bloomberg.com/tech-blog/2012-12-20-the-new-york-times-paywall-is-working-better-than-anyone-had-guessed/">Bloomberg story</a> cites an Evercore Partners analyst who predicts the NYT Co will earn $91 million in 2012 through digital subscriptions, a figure that will account for 12 percent of all circulation revenue. The story also says things would look even brighter if the Times wasn&#8217;t being dragged down by a sickly Boston Globe.</p>
<p>Well, maybe. We&#8217;ll acknowledge that the Times has developed the most sophisticated paywall strategy of any paper to date, and that digital sales are crucial to its future. But this doesn&#8217;t mean that its paying online subscribers (now 566,000 and growing) will be enough to make up for declining ad revenue. The reality is that the paper is riding a <a href="http://paidcontent.org/2012/10/25/new-york-times-misses-earnings-targets-but-digital-subs-grow/">temporary revenue wave</a> that comes from boosting its print and newsstand subscriptions. The company continues to be coy about how much circulation revenue is from digital versus print &#8212; and how many digital subscribers will stick around once a raft of promotions expire. As my colleague, Mathew Ingram puts it, the company is r<a href="http://gigaom.com/2012/10/26/the-new-york-times-running-faster-and-faster-to-stay-in-the-same-place/">unning faster and faster to stay in place</a>.</p>
<p>The New York Times is here for the long term but it will not be able to sustain itself in its current state on digital dollars alone. It&#8217;s a good bet that the Times will soon be looking harder at expanding its events, partnerships and other business opportunities.</p>
<p><em>(Image by <a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/gallery-73309p1.html">Carlos E. Santa Maria</a> via Shutterstock)</em></p><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=paidcontent.org&#038;blog=33319749&#038;post=222448&#038;subd=gigaompaidcontent&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" /><p><a href="http://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?iu=/1008864/PaidContent_RSS_300x250&#038;sz=300x250&#038;c=556657"><img src="http://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/ad?iu=/1008864/PaidContent_RSS_300x250&#038;sz=300x250&#038;c=556657" /></a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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